Power-law regression on Binance weekly klines — 7 valuation bands from "Fire Sale" to "Maximum Bubble." Live chart, updated daily. For educational purposes only.
The chart applies a power-law regression (log-log linear fit) to Bitcoin's weekly closing prices since 2017, modeled from the Bitcoin genesis block (Jan 3, 2009). The regression line estimates Bitcoin's "fair value" based on its long-term adoption curve.
Seven valuation bands are drawn at fixed multipliers above and below the regression line — from 0.5× (deep value) to 4.0× (extreme overvaluation). The band BTC currently occupies gives a systematic, data-driven read on where prices sit relative to the long-term trend.
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The Brief covers macro, on-chain, and technical analysis — plus regime change alerts when the market shifts.
Join The Vault →For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Bitcoin prices are highly volatile. Data sourced from Binance public API.